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Thank you for the follow-up, sorry if too many questions, but one more.

If I hold the general consensus opinion here that Groupon is heading to insolvency, and let's say it will be insolvent by January 2013, is it cheaper then to attempt to acquire Groupon stock to short it on margin than to buy a January 2013 put, even if your margin is running at 60%?



You can buy a Jan 13 $10 put for $2.05 so you have an upside of $7.95, just under 4:1 payoff in the event of a proper bankruptcy. That's not a lot so you can see a fair chance of disaster is already priced in.

As a casual investor the option probably wins because you can sleep easier at night knowing that if GroupOn announce a cure for cancer you are only losing the $2.


Thank you, I was able to easily grok what you are saying, I was never thinking of it before in terms of 4:1 payoff, but that makes sense.




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