Maddeningly accurate. Taarof can demonstrate a mastery of social intelligence, like the Japanese tea ceremony writ large in society, and is a good goalpost for AGI.

Not one month ago, as an admission of my own clumsy slight, I had remarked to a senior of higher status, that Chatgpt could just grasp Taarof.

tried this irl and wound up here

as a longtime, proud, and noble pirate; attempts at moral justification or condemnation are simply gratuitous and i'm certain many like me feel the same

this is a rather funny joke

but if it is not that would be extremely impressive! determinism/freewill reduces to shazam!?

whats the training data to predict new song titles? heh

check out this reply from claude2:

>predict the next 3 new song titles from artist Taylor Swift

1. Last Dance with You - A reflective ballad about finding closure after a breakup. 2. Never Getting Back Together - A pop tune emphasizing that the same mistakes won't be made twice in a relationship. 3. 22 Was My Prime - A lighthearted look back on her early 20s as carefree years that can't be replicated.

...

a quick aside...

Whenever music is mentioned in conjuction with technology, one artist seems to always - in a very literal sense - pop up like a zombie in a B-movie...Taylor Swift. No idea who this person is or what they do but they appear everywhere, all at once.

It feels like a conspiracy.

very regretable and very predictable

pretty cool. "period" finetuning could be useful for game npc sims

I think we will find more examples countering our modern idea of discrete organisms separated across generations.

Consider again the glider translated across space time. Is it the same glider after 1,2,10 generations in time?

I always found it curious the ancient archons had rulerships which kept continuity in nominative identity across individuals for several generations. The social practice continues with the first, the second, III, IV etc.

The epigenetic view supports it.

Then you get examples like Marcus Aurelius -> Commodus, betraying all genetic and epigenetic reason alike. The apple doesn't fall far from the tree, except when it does.

ye prestige award is a political football now. same as it ever was?

I was interested in historical demographic predictions. What did the UN project for 2020 in 1950, 1960, 1970 etc.

Unfortunately pre-1950 demographic prediction is a little harder to find. I wonder why*

Anyway a reliable source is found here: https://ourworldindata.org/population-projections

In summary historical population projections have been pretty accurate but not in the way you expect.

*One thought is that because current date may become a historical inflection point similar to the first half of the 20th century, current date demographic statistics may be too important to put much stock in. Sobering.

That's a great resource, thanks.

It's what I expected, what the UN predicts follows the agenda of the day. Previous it was the fear of some enemy population and now they are trying to normalise the idea of population reduction.

indeed the prediction and agenda go hand-in-hand

it could not be otherwise else the agenda would alter the prediction until the new prediction and the new agenda match

interestingly this operation is the same as an agentic ai

I'm very interested to see how this picture will look 20-30 years out. Wealth is concentrated in pockets and the average person gets by. China wealth Gini index is moderating somewhat around Japan tier. US Gini is very high and closer to the world average.