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Broadly speaking, gambling is just making decisions without knowing the future. It's everywhere.

Gambling is taking a bet without any clue about the future.

Nothing is done with certainty what the future will be. Yet we don't say we are constantly gambling, without some people do.


The SPRT is probably already making your life better: it's used to decrease the cost of medical trails, optimize classifications in high-stakes examinations (i.e. for medical certifications), detect defective manufacturing processes, etc. It sounds like this paper extends the method to groups of hypotheses, whereas the basic version is limited to a null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis.


While possible, there are also many bodily processes that are finely tuned through eons of evolution, and destabilizing pressure leads to disorder. Sometimes it's difficult to know which are which (or at least I don't know).


I'm partial to "culture is shared expectations".

Which can, of course, be random, self-reinforcing, etc.


> lacking many core values to guide them

This is a fundamental problem and one reason we're mired in this culture war. Social friction is caused by jostling based on group membership, and there's no common values-based scaffolding we can use to collaborate in building a better way.

I used to scoff when told to say the pledge of allegiance as a young person. Now, the closing words "liberty and justice for all" sound quite aspirational.



How do we get this read by more people this is crazy.


Agree, targeted advertising in particular is a trojan horse for many other internet-fueled social ills.


Gen 1 Apple Card did a bait-and-switch about using it to buy iPhones with 0% interest. Super frustrating.


How so?

I've used my Apple card to buy a few Apple devices and indeed with 0% interest.


I used mine to buy Macbook Airs with 0% interest just fine. For the iPhone, the fine print says you (now) have to sign up with one of their pre-approved carriers. If you use another - Mint or US Mobile or whatever - you're out of luck.


And it can’t be prepaid plans, at least with Verizon when I tried that 2 years ago.


Bought many things from Apple at 0 interest.


> Do NOT use an electric sharpener

Why?


The argument for not using electric sharpeners is that they (1) cut down the lifetime of your knife substantially and (2) they do a mediocre job of sharpening.

Mechanically, it's just high-abrasive motorized spinning discs at preset angles. So rather than getting a good edge by taking a few microns of material off by doing it manually, you get an OK edge by taking 0.2mm off at a time. (If 0.2mm doesn't sound like a lot, think about how many mm wide your knife is.)

---

I'm personally 50-50 on this advice: most people don't sharpen their knives at all, and I think people are better off getting 10 OK years out of a knife than 50 terrible years out of it.

I'm also not willing to learn how to use a whetstone, so I landed in the middle on this: https://worksharptools.com/products/precision-adjust-knife-s...


I still sharpen my knives on a whetstone, but given the general cost trajectory of most manufactured items, I've decided that I'm okay if I wear out my knives. Buying a new chef's knife in 10 years is basically free on a per-day-of-use basis.

(I say that, but I'm still using knives that mostly range from 25-50 years old, but some didn't get sharpened enough when they belonged to our parents and grandparents.)


I landed on using a diamond stone with 300 grit and 1000 grit. Unlike whetstones they never need to be flattened. I just use one of those cheap plastic angle guides. After a bit of practice you will learn to hold the angle well enough. Finish with a leather strop and some polishing compound and I can keep my knives shaving-sharp with only a few minutes effort before I cook.


OK, but Gmail, Google Maps, Google Docs, and Google Search etc are ubiquitous. `Google' has even become a verb. Google might take a shotgun approach, but it certainly does create widely used products.


I will add that there's also Gemini in Chrome. With Chrome being the largest browser by market share, that's a powerful de facto default.


  > With Chrome being the largest browser by market share, that's a powerful de facto default.
where art thou anti-trust enforcement...


Every personal computer user except Chromebook users went out of their way to download Chrome. What exactly do you want “anti trust” to do?


maybe not allow google to bundle gemini with chrome?


So should we also not allow OpenAI to bundle the OpenAI model with the ChatGPT app

Absolutely no one besides ChromeOS users are forced to use Chrome.


Anti-trust doesn’t have to involve force, but monopolistic behavior.

Google has spent over a decade advertising Chrome on all their properties and has an unlimited budget and active desire to keep Chrome competitive. Mozilla famously needs Google’s sponsorship to stay solvent. Apple maintains Safari to have no holes in their ecosystem.

Stop being silly defending trillion dollar companies that are actively making the internet worse, it’s not productive or funny.


And poor little under capitalized Microsoft and Apple couldn’t compete?


That doesn't negate my original point.


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