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I don’t have hard data, but I think this optimal value is very closely approximated by coffee drinkers’ daily average. 400 ml is about 1.75 cups, and i think the normal distribution of coffee cups among drinkers is centered at ~2 cups. Makes me wonder if we’re all self medicating and accidentally finding the sweet spot.

Hmm to feel a bit elevated makes sense. I also have that with one glass of alcohol at certain times. Heart rate goes up, things get a bit more intense. It's a nice vibe if you're open to it. It's also a bit subtle.

For me what I've noticed: 2 cups hits the spot, but I always tend to drink more, around 4 cups. On the 3rd cup my mind gets jittery. It's not so much my body or anything and I don't experience the jitters strongly but at the same time I feel a stronger focus while noticing that stronger focus isn't getting anything extra done. Hence I call it mind jitters.

But I can imagine that at 2 cups people are genuinely just a bit elevated in certain ways.


OR it could be that we find the sweet spot because it's the spot we feel the best.

Well, that's the hardest data of all!

HN isn't a judge of software; it's a place to learn and be curious. So people are often interested in projects that do a novel thing in a normal way, or a normal thing in a novel way. Eg, stories fascinate us because something was built by a very lean team, or a group with no money, or somebody who is an industry outsider, or a parapalegic, etc. Overcoming these limitations is a sort of 'hacking'.

Is it strange that NFLX is down on this news? I would have thought this is a big win for them, as they are consolidating power?

I haven’t read tfa, so apologies if I’m missing context. But convolution is one example of an integral that outputs a function. Convolution is fundamental for control theory.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convolution?wprov=sfti1


I wrote with em-dashes before it was cool, and I’m certainly not going to stop due to our robotic overlords (who I welcome wholeheartedly).

Ya, i was shocked at the “reclining woman” entry, I can’t see anything in that pattern.

I think it's supposed to be a headless woman... But yeah. Not convinced.

With an extra-long bent torso?

There are three segments:

Left: legs.

Middle: male torso.

Right: Female torso.

Just imagine a man whose head, instead of being a head, is a girl's chest. And who has no arms. That's what's drawn on the map.

Is there a way to interpret it as a drawing of a human? No.


I think I see it now (not really the best representation of a woman).

she is lying on her stomach, with her hands in front of her, and above the head. Top right: feet Bottom left, hands


No, she is lying on her back and you have the sideview of her breasts. The cartographer didn't want to draw an elaborate woman, he just wanted to draw (side) boobs.

It's clearly a snake. There's even a forked tongue.

Someone please tell the stock market, I moved my investments to be more risk averse and it hurts to watch the green line go up.

There is generally no point in doing this, keep a constant asset allocation that match your risk appetite, otherwise you're just playing the casino.

Timing the market is bad, but I'm reading "risk averse" as selling equities and buying bonds.

The problem is that this recent equities run has been extra terrible for more conservative 60/40 portfolios [0].

[0] https://www.morningstar.com/economy/6040-portfolio-150-year-...


> selling equities and buying bonds

There's an intermediate option: sell high P/E stocks and buy lower P/E stocks with dividend paying history. There are ETFs designed for this purpose too.


That is also what I read in going risk averse.

In particular bulking up in EM, EU, and small cap. And slimming down in us large cap.


Uhhh...you're describing something like QAI? [0] And you're going to short a portfolio of TSLA, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, MSFT, AAPL, NFLX, AMD...?

That's crazy.

[0] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/QAI/


I am indeed short TSLA (or rather, am taking an inverse position), and have greatly reduced my exposure to NVDA, AMZN, META, MSFT, and AAPL. I keep some exposure to GOOGL, NFLX, AMD, because I believe they are going to "win" in their industry in the long run. I plan to keep exposure to them for like 10+ years.

I have a blog post about the inverse TSLA position here: https://bagelpour.wordpress.com/2025/11/30/taking-an-inverse...


Almost all of the gains on SP500 are from 7 stocks - I'll let you guess which 7. The market overall is nowhere near as exuberant.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/11/24/sp500-sto...


The market can stay insane longer than you can stay insolvent.

Also, its possible that the market thinks job losses are good (aka that AI is replacing jobs)


The brutal truth…

Stocks go up, wages and income go down, things keep on keeping on because AI has quietly replaced you.


First time?

Except in reality this isn’t happening outside of press releases. God y’all drank the koolaid.

They say time in the market generally beats timing the market

You and me both, but working poors like us should be investing for long-term gains, not short-term returns. I put my money into bonds and international indices because I want to be better protected when the AI CAPEX bubble pops here, but I have no idea when that’ll happen.

We can’t time the market, but we can protect the scraps we’ve accumulated at least.


Having taught the new engineers, and having worked with those 1990s mechanical engineers, I strongly disagree. It’s a recurring belief that the new generation is regressing. When typewriters became common, teachers worried about handwriting. When calculators became common, math teachers worried about mental math skills. If anyone alive was old enough to protest, “the greatest generation” probably would have a different name.

Edit: initially i said “ People bemoaned the loss of chalk-on-blackboard skills when paper and pencil got cheap”, but apparently that’s not true, it was first claimed in a piece of satire, and then became mistaken for the truth.


Yeah, people still go to college as high school students who don’t know much and come out as almost-engineers, so degrees definitely still have value. And I don’t see a lot of difference in skill between the generations after accounting for experience.

> Nothing points out that the benchmark is invalid like a zero false positive rate

You’re punishing them for claiming to do a good job. If they truly are doing a bad job, surely there is a better criticism you could provide.


No one is punishing anyone. They just make an implausible claim. That is it.

I love mjd! He once replied to me on an HN thread and it lives forever in my memory :)

I LIKE PIE

Me three! mjd fanboy here

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