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Predictions for the world of January 1, 2020 (2010) (paulbuchheit.blogspot.com)
5 points by sirodoht on June 21, 2020 | hide | past | favorite | 5 comments


Great predictions with a very thorough explanation and high degree of accuracy. All except for 4 and 10 are correct for a prediction that was from 2010.

I'd like to get hold of this guy's forecast on 2030 given that it looks like this guy has a functioning crystal ball.


> There will be an even bigger economic crash. The system becomes increasingly unstable as we try to paper-over the damage from one bubble by creating an even bigger bubble elsewhere. Nevertheless, things continue semi-working for some reason.

The "things continue semi-working for some reason" is the part that got me, since that seems to be exactly what's happening. And the answer seems to generally be "for some reason".

> The drug war will be over, mostly.

Unfortunately this hasn't happened, but I hope we're starting to trend in that direction.

> Political outsiders will begin winning elections. Steven Colbert will win the 2016 election

Only half right. :'(


HN thread from 2010, when this was first posted: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027916


Prescient! Does he have 2030 predictions?


https://twitter.com/paultoo/status/1263941612876394496

> I actually spent some time thinking about it last year and then decided against. This decade is crazier than the previous. Creating the future is more important than predicting it, especially in times like this.




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