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There were other factors that differed in 2020 compared to other years, like the effects of the lockdowns: mass-bankrupties [1], social isolation for the elderly [2], an increase in drug-overdoses, a decline in access to quality-of-life enhancing services, etc.

Isolation in general is extremely deadly. [3]

My guess is that the effects of COVID on the US's 2020 mortality rate were much greater than the effects of the lockdown, but that is just a guess, not a scientifically validated conclusion.

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/on-small-business/sm...

[2] https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/hidden-covid-19-health-...

[3] https://slate.com/technology/2013/08/dangers-of-loneliness-s...



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