The only confident bet I feel like I can make about the future is that most of m...

		jonstewart on Sept 16, 2021 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets The only confident bet I feel like I can make about the future is that most of my bets about the future would be wrong. I don’t think this is an uncommon feeling amongst humans, and perhaps indicates why prediction markets haven’t caught on beyond a core niche.