Would we? I ask genuinely, not rhetorically. Literacy was a lot lower back then, and even what was written has often been lost in time.
I mean I can offer the same argument in reverse: if 70% of these staircases wound clockwise, they clearly favoured this orientation. How come we don't have contemporary documentation of the reason?
Presumably we also find masonry spiral stairs in contemporary churches, cathedrals, bell towers, monasteries, storage cellars, etc. - do these structures (which one assumes have very different threat models to a castle) exhibit similar bias?
Romans built spiral staircases as well - did they favor a particular direction? What about other cultures unrelated to European castle building traditions?
Honestly, though, if you’ve ever worked on a construction project you would know: even if you had a record of a papal decree mandating that all staircases must turn to the right, multiple books documenting how to build staircases with a right turn and warning against left-turning designs, and original castle drawings showing the architect marked explicitly that the staircase must turn right, it would not be surprising to find that 30% of staircases turn left just because the contractor installed it backwards.
Contractors might have their own individual preferences too.
"This is my contractor John Mason, who likes to build right handed stairs."
"And this is his son Mason Johnson, who hates his dad so he builds left handed stairs"
70% is an election landslide, but I'm not sure it tells you that one kind of staircase is preferred over another.
If the swordsman theory were correct, it ought to be higher. Either it is really important that you can defeat invaders on stairs, and handedness matters for this, or it's not that big a deal and we can let some other consideration decide, for instance the descending stairs hypothesis.
So if was a big deal you'd think everyone would insist on having the stairs the right way, nearly 100%. If not there might be another weaker reason that leads to 70%.
"70% is an election landslide, but I'm not sure it tells you that one kind of staircase is preferred over another."
I think 70% definitely tells you what kind of staircase was preferred assuming there are enough staircases (and assuming that that clockwise (CW) and counter-clockwise staircases had equal probability of surviving and being counted).
Assume there are 40 staircases, and that 70% (28) are CW. The binomial distribution tells us that the probability of there being more than 27 staircases that run CW is less than 0.83% if staircase direction is chosen at random.
Thus, the binomial distribution suggests that it is highly unlikely (<1%) that staircase direction was determined at random.
I actually thought about this exact thing before I wrote my comment. What you forget is this is an adversarial situation you're dealing with. If it really mattered, nobody would leave it to a coin toss as to which way the staircases have to be. Much like in sports, every little edge counts. Yeah, it isn't chance that 70% of them are CW, but it also doesn't make sense that it's only 70%.
The proper comparison is not a 50% cointoss, which is how you might think about some elections, it's a 100% world where every castle maker would tell their apprentices about this important CW swordfighting idea, and people who forget this are castigated for building an obvious weakness into their design.
The only reason it would be somewhat lopsided, but not decisively, is if there was some mild reason why people preferred one over the other, which is what your numbers actually suggest. Something like the "easier to walk down" hypothesis might make sense here, where for instance the CCW staircases are accounted for by aesthetic considerations like symmetry.
>> if 70% of these staircases wound clockwise, they clearly favoured this orientation.
If 70% of surviving staircases are clockwise and they were built in similar numbers then there is clearly an advantage to the clockwise orientation. If they were not built in similar numbers, then its on the author to find a specific reason rather than simply reject the conventional wisdom on the subject.
You don't disprove something like this by pointing to a lack of evidence. You do it by finding compelling evidence for an alternative.
"If 70% of surviving staircases are clockwise and they were built in similar numbers then there is clearly an advantage to the clockwise orientation."
Archeology of 21st century man definitely states that 70% of adults used to eat burgers, then there is clearly an advantage to putting a piece of meat between two slices of bread. The bread must br protecting meat from rain and wildlife. People who put meat on top of bread have clearly died out in the evolutionary game. Even the few surviving specimen of men that put meat on top of bread, always cover it with cheese to confuse predators.
I can attest to the bread working. In the late 20th century the extra grip and mobility the bread surrounding the meat (you could even say it 'sandwhiched' the meat) provided definitely helped me protect it from local wildlife (and by local wildlife I mean my siblings).
> Archeology of 21st century man definitely states that 70% of adults used to eat burgers, then there is clearly an advantage to putting a piece of meat between two slices of bread
I mean, there is! It's easier to eat while holding. Meat tends to be a little wet, but bread is dry, so by putting meat in bread, you don't need utensils.
Well, lets consider another reason. How about this one: walking down the staircase is more dangerous then up. When two British people meet, they tend to turn to the left. The one walking down now walks on the safer inside.
Very probably bullocks. But prove me wrong?
Fair, but there may have been security reasons for not recording something like this (if the swordsman theory is true), you wouldnt want enemy castles to be built as well, so you might not write down any defensive design strategies in an effort to horde your knowledge.
People were not stupid; if there was an actual technical benefit, it would have been known and shared, the same way that people knew and shared other castle construction techniques amongst craftsmen.
Tangibly, the absence of evidence for something can’t be magicked away by the “but what if they didn’t record it for a reason because it was a secret!?”.
If there’s no evidence, there’s no evidence. You can ponder all day, but it still boils down to, bluntly: there is no evidence that conjecture is correct.
But if there's no evidence of something, the best you can say is that you don't know. And it's possible that the dominant orientation is just an accident, in which case they wouldn't even have a "reason" to document.
I mean I can offer the same argument in reverse: if 70% of these staircases wound clockwise, they clearly favoured this orientation. How come we don't have contemporary documentation of the reason?