Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

>It is very wishful to pretend that Russia can cut itself off from rich countries amounting to over half the world’s economic output and still come out fine

China and India rising will make these "rich countries" start to seem poorer at an accelerating rate and the "half the world’s economic output" fact will not be true for very much longer.



I am willing to bet that the GDP per capita of neither China nor India will surpass that of the United States within this century or the next.


I would take that bet, my understanding is China's GDP could easily 2x to 4x the US's in 50-100 years.


GDP yes, per capita unlikely.


Possibly, I'm not 100% certain though. History says they are capable of surpassing all established western economic metrics.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: