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at the same time, gas supplies are at an all time high.

The main issue seems to be absolutely atrocious timing of nuclear reactor maintenance. (which is just bad luck).

> I assume that once larger parts of the population start feeling the effects of these energy shortages, some dynamics might change.

I sure as hell hope that the dynamic will increase in providing ukraine with the weapons required to end of the war far more quickly. From a geopolitical standpoint, making sure russia does not win this war or end it in a stalemate is absolutely vital for European stability.

Also, it could lead to further defence integration in europe. (this has already been fast tracked once the war started).



In what way will Ukraine winning (whatever that means) help us in terms of energy?


Best case scenario is a revolution in Russia leading to a new democratic free country that immediately withdraws from Ukraine, starts selling gas and what not for needed cash and goodwill, sends war criminals to The Hague, etc.

Of course that's highly unrealistic. There is very little chance of a peaceful settlement between today's Russia and today's Ukraine (what Ukraine wants - its territorial integrity and probably reparations and war crimes investigations, is simply incompatible with the very nature of Putin's regime and situation), thus there's very little chance for Russian gas to flow as it did before any time soon. Hopefully by the time it's again possible it would have been replaced by alternatives.


> Of course that's highly unrealistic.

That's very realistic, actually. We just need Germany to send the man.


Russia is already going broke. They could be forced to resume gas sales by financial need.




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