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I don't know if anyone is tracking it explicitly, but in more nuanced stories, (eg. Ben Thompson's stratechery[0] - paywalled), it does come up.

Basically, most of these tech companies have been hiring at a constant rate for years, and also experiencing constant attrition. Once the economy soured, and then hiring freezes started, attrition rates had crashed, and the employee count wasn't as affected by freeze as desired. The layoffs have been roughly a reset towards the headcount before the freeze for many companies.

While the whole article is paywalled, I'll quote an excerpt from ben Thompson:

> The popular narrative right now about these layoffs is that tech companies dramatically over-hired during the pandemic, but while that seems to have happened with Amazon — and for arguably very good reasons given the way that e-commerce shot up during lockdowns in particular — the reality is that the rest of the tech companies largely increased at the same rate they always had. Sure, the number of employees they added was large, but that was a function of keeping the same hiring rate off of an ever increasing base.

> In short, no one was giving up a job at one of the big five tech companies this year as fear spread about a broad-based slowdown in hiring... These companies, though, adjusted more slowly to the slower rate of attrition, which means they accidentally increased their headcount... the relatively limited size of the layoffs to date actually reflects that: these companies are not returning to their pre-pandemic levels of employees, but rather to where they would be had they kept up roughly the same rates of hiring this year that they have over the last ten

[0] https://stratechery.com/2023/tech-layoffs-big-techs-hiring-r...



That suggests that companies could have designed layoffs as accelerated attrition. They could make a prediction about who likely would have left on their own. They could make a prediction (or observation) about whom they were managing out. Then the first layoff target is the staff who would likely not be here in two years anyhow. That's a different approach than for example culling people with higher salaries who are not graded as extraordinary contributors. Either way, I think having an identifiable rationale for layoff choices makes a layoff less shitty to go through.


It suggests they could have, if they were competent to do so. But for all their genius at product-market fit, I don’t think any of these companies have conquered the beast of self-serving bureaucracy.

> I think having an identifiable rationale for layoff choices makes a layoff less shitty to go through.

I don’t know. When I went through one the identifiable rationale was “move jobs to a cheaper country with weaker labor laws and more corruption,” and I think “oops sorry random” might have felt better.


> culling people with higher salaries who are not graded as extraordinary contributors.

This seems like a better way to reduce costs though.

If I got laid off “because we thought you’d quit soon anyways” and I hadn’t given notice already then I’d be quite upset.




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