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> The idea that "if only we could estimate accurately, we could execute grand strategic visions" is mostly bullshit.

10000x this. It’s complete bullshit.

And the bullshit is often used to shift blame to the dev team in order to cover up for a lack of management competence.

I started to think about how to describe the problem in business planning terms (ie, money) because I needed to come up with language that senior management and non-software CEOs could understand, for a series of meetings I recently attended. I realised that just saying “you can’t do it” is unsatisfying, and just leads to arguments.

“Yes you can have accurate estimates but it will >2x the project cost” seemed to resonate.

(And yes I think it’s much more than 2x too)



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