> In theory yes. In practice no. The models weren't driven by data in the way you're thinking. Go take a look at their source code if you don't believe me. COVID-Sim had ~150 parameters, virtually all of which were made up guesses.
The parameter’s my region’s epidemiologists were using for their models was certainly being updated as new data became available. I even had a conversation with one of them on Reddit about it.
> Well, we don't really know why variants suddenly displaced each other so fast and so completely. It would appear that there's some kind of viral interference, in which you can't be infected with multiple respiratory viruses at once.
Eh? It is the same natural selection, competitive process at large scale and in the body.
The parameter’s my region’s epidemiologists were using for their models was certainly being updated as new data became available. I even had a conversation with one of them on Reddit about it.
> Well, we don't really know why variants suddenly displaced each other so fast and so completely. It would appear that there's some kind of viral interference, in which you can't be infected with multiple respiratory viruses at once.
Eh? It is the same natural selection, competitive process at large scale and in the body.
You can be infected with multiple variants.