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The point about the market being 'large' is the very thing that fragmentation undermines. What matters is how many paying customers can receive a good user experience from your app, and what this costs to provide.

You also assume that Android will continue to outpace iOS in terms of growth - i.e. the trajectory will be like the PC rather than like the iPod.

It matters very much what you think about Android fragmentation. Dealing with it has been a costly mistake for some developers, and could be for you.



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