I mean that it does not follow basic logic rules when constructing its thoughts. For many tasks they'll get it right, however it's not that hard to find a task for which LLM will yield obviously logically wrong answer. That would be impossible for human with basic reasoning.

I disagree, but I don’t have a cogent argument yet. So I can’t really refute you.

What I can say is, I think there’s a very important disagreement here and it divides nerds into two camps. The first think LLMs can reason, the second don’t.

It’s very important to resolve this debate, because if the former are correct then we are likely very close to AGI historically speaking (<10 years). If not, then this is just a stepwise improvement and we will now plateaux until the next level of sophistication of model or computer power etc is achieved.

I think a lot of very smart people are in the second camp. But they are biased by their overestimation of human cognition. And that bias might be causing them to misjudge the most important innovation in history. An innovation that will certainly be more impactful than the steam engine and may be more dangerous than the atomic bomb.

We should really resolve this argument asap so we can all either breathe a sigh of relief or start taking the situation very very seriously.

I'm actually in the first camp. For I believe that our brains is really LLM on steroids and logic rules are just in our "prompt".

What we need is a LLM that will iterate over its output until it feels that it's correct. Right now LLM output is like random thought in my mind. Which might be true or not. Before writing forum post I'd think it twice. And may be I'll rewrite the post before submitting it. And when I'm solving a complex problem, it might take weeks and thousands of iterations. Even reading math proof might take a lot of effort. LLM should learn to do it. I think that's the key to imitating human intelligence.