> But practically speaking this is a unique time in history of technology because there are quick feedback loops that cause that flywheel you mentioned to be a insurmountable first mover advantage.
I'm staking my career and business on you being wrong about the insurmountable part. This is just the beginning of a long road and I'm not the only one who believes this. My partnership with Dell, Advizex and a huge soon to be announced datacenter company, isn't small beans.
Much like how I didn't know how the internet would look when I first joined in 1991. But, what I can see very clearly from my decades of experience in the tech field, is that history is repeating itself with what is happening in AI.
As I'm also prone to say... this isn't a football match where one team needs to "beat" the other. It really is enough to have multiple players in the market and nothing more than that. In fact, I'm more than happy to deploy any type of compute that my customers want me to deploy for them, including Nvidia.
Even Lamini, whom were previously AMD only, just announced [0] that they are partnering with Nvidia. Their software will run equally well on any system. Why? Because it builds a simple bridge from one platform to the next. Reminds me of the Java "write once, run anywhere" slogan. It actually worked pretty well.
I'm not saying it is impossible for other companies to build good and profitable products. Google, AMD, Tesla all have good AI systems.
I'm saying NVDA uses their own chips to help build more chips, AND they are intricately involved in the buildout of the 100B data centers and intricately involved in TSMC roadmaps. That with the combination of huge profits that are increasing create even more advantages over competitors.
Obviously this doesn't go on forever, NVDA will never have 100T of profit in a quarter. Years from now the feedback loops will have diminishing returns and there will be commodity AI systems eventually.
I did not use the word impossible. Nobody is arguing that Nvidia won't be the dominate player for a long time. That does not mean that there isn't a good business in being in the game.
> Years from now the feedback loops will have diminishing returns and there will be commodity AI systems eventually.
Maybe, but the cat is out of the bag. Before it was a question of Moore's law and speed, but nobody talks about that anymore... all they talk about is that the need for raw compute (not even the fastest), is officially boundless.
I'm staking my career and business on you being wrong about the insurmountable part. This is just the beginning of a long road and I'm not the only one who believes this. My partnership with Dell, Advizex and a huge soon to be announced datacenter company, isn't small beans.
Much like how I didn't know how the internet would look when I first joined in 1991. But, what I can see very clearly from my decades of experience in the tech field, is that history is repeating itself with what is happening in AI.
As I'm also prone to say... this isn't a football match where one team needs to "beat" the other. It really is enough to have multiple players in the market and nothing more than that. In fact, I'm more than happy to deploy any type of compute that my customers want me to deploy for them, including Nvidia.
Even Lamini, whom were previously AMD only, just announced [0] that they are partnering with Nvidia. Their software will run equally well on any system. Why? Because it builds a simple bridge from one platform to the next. Reminds me of the Java "write once, run anywhere" slogan. It actually worked pretty well.
[0] https://x.com/realsharonzhou/status/1811439958277927294