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I will probably be forced to go into SWE management then, something I don’t enjoy.

Why do I feel this way? Because I expect significant improvement from Orion, and I don’t think it will stop improving after that.



> Because I expect significant improvement from Orion

Could you share the scientific basis for this expectation? Something other than pure hype from OpenAI would be good.


Google “llm scaling laws”.


SWE management won’t be a thing either. Hopefully you can find another job.


When SWE management’s no longer a thing I’m afraid there won’t be many professions left.

By that time I really hope we will have some sort if UBI, so at least we won’t starve to death.


Honestly... SWE management already is kind of already out-of-date and I say that as someone who is a SWE manager.

Most software teams can pretty much run themselves and the only real use a SWE manager has imo is running interference because the rest of the company are morons and/or chaotic and being the gopher for things the team needs. I think a manager who isn't also participating in the work should be removed as they are a net-negative.

If the rest of the company is calm and sane, in my opinion, you could have a team with senior+ ICs that take turns doing planning or doing a collaborative planning.


> When SWE management’s no longer a thing

You just said developers will be gone in 2-3 years. There won't be any humans to manage. Did you mean you'll be a SWE manager of LLMs?


Did you mean you'll be a SWE manager of LLMs?

Yes, hopefully for a couple more years until such managers are themselves automated.




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