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> So my dystopian prediction for 2031 is that if that form of AGI has come to pass it will be accompanied by extraordinarily bad economic outcomes and mass civil unrest.

I guess six years is the longest time horizon in the question but that "if" around AGI and its impact does a lot of work. This maybe assumes it'll happen sooner? Or, is it similar to the AI art prediction where the 6 year horizon is just a long enough period of time such that we'll see if we're headed towards AGI?



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