> What will happen when tiny startups of 3-8 people get 5-20x more productive and can ship new stuff daily?
The answer is in the comment you just wrote.
If those tiny startups are successful, they will become the next bloated large companies where things take forever because of "intra team conflicts, legal hurdles and processes", which are categories of things LLMs will never solve because LLMs can't solve problems of human consensus.
If those startups aren't successful, they will run out of money and die.
Big companies take forever to do things because they have lots of paying customers to keep happy, a bunch of people who are ready to sue them at the slightest misstep, thousands of employees with families who want job stability and therefore don't want to be betting the farm every 6 months, etc.
Tiny companies can iterate really fast because they have none of this.
LLMs don't change anything about this fundamental reality.
As the cost of going from 0 to 1 goes to 0 the incentives flip. You'll have way more small companies that raise little or no money from VCs and have no incentives to juice head count to pump the valuation.
I have a lot of friends who started similar companies recently, who are making millions in revenue with 2-8 people and deliberately plan to never grow head count past around 10 people.
We'll have way more teams like midjourney, early whatsapp / instagram and 37signals.
The answer is in the comment you just wrote.
If those tiny startups are successful, they will become the next bloated large companies where things take forever because of "intra team conflicts, legal hurdles and processes", which are categories of things LLMs will never solve because LLMs can't solve problems of human consensus.
If those startups aren't successful, they will run out of money and die.
Big companies take forever to do things because they have lots of paying customers to keep happy, a bunch of people who are ready to sue them at the slightest misstep, thousands of employees with families who want job stability and therefore don't want to be betting the farm every 6 months, etc.
Tiny companies can iterate really fast because they have none of this.
LLMs don't change anything about this fundamental reality.