I think the author provides an interesting perspective to the AI hype, however, I think he is really downplaying the effectiveness of what you can do with the current models we have.
If you've been using LLMs effectively to build agents or AI-driven workflows you understand the true power of what these models can do. So in some ways the author is being a little selective with his confirmation bias.
I promise you that if you do your due diligence in exploring the horizon of what LLMs can do you will understand what I'm saying. If ya'll want a more detailed post I can get into the AI systems I have been building. Don't sleep on AI.
I don't think he is downplaying the effectiveness of what you can do with the current models. Rather, he's in a milieu (LessWrong), which is laser-focused on "transformative" AI, AGI, and ASI.
Current AI is clearly economically valuable, but if we freeze everything at the capabilities it has today it is also clearly not going to result in mass transformation of the economy from "basically being about humans working" to "humans are irrelevant to the economy." Lots of LW people believe that in the next 2-5 years humans will become irrelevant to the economy. He's arguing against that belief.
If you've been using LLMs effectively to build agents or AI-driven workflows you understand the true power of what these models can do. So in some ways the author is being a little selective with his confirmation bias.
I promise you that if you do your due diligence in exploring the horizon of what LLMs can do you will understand what I'm saying. If ya'll want a more detailed post I can get into the AI systems I have been building. Don't sleep on AI.