> There's absolutely no way that we're not going to see a massive reduction in the need for "humans writing code" moving forward, given how good LLMs are getting at writing code.
Sure, but in the same way that Squarespace and Wix killed web development. LLMs are going to replace a decent bunch of low-hanging fruit, but those jobs were always at risk of being outsourced to the lowest bidder over in India anyways.
The real question is, what's going to happen to the interns and the junior developers? If 10 juniors can create the same output as a single average developer equipped with a LLM, who's going to hire the juniors? And if nobody is hiring juniors, how are we supposed to get the next generation of seniors?
Similarly, what's going to happen to outsourcing? Will it be able to compete on quality and price? Will it secretly turn into nothing more than a proxy to some LLM?
> And if nobody is hiring juniors, how are we supposed to get the next generation of seniors?
Maybe stop tasking seniors with training juniors, and put them back on writing production code? That will give you one generation and vastly improve products across the board :).
The concern about entry-level jobs is valid, but I think it's good to remember that in the past years, almost all coding is done at entry-level, because if you do it long enough to become moderately competent, you tend to get asked to stop doing it, and train up a bunch of new hires instead.
Sure, but in the same way that Squarespace and Wix killed web development. LLMs are going to replace a decent bunch of low-hanging fruit, but those jobs were always at risk of being outsourced to the lowest bidder over in India anyways.
The real question is, what's going to happen to the interns and the junior developers? If 10 juniors can create the same output as a single average developer equipped with a LLM, who's going to hire the juniors? And if nobody is hiring juniors, how are we supposed to get the next generation of seniors?
Similarly, what's going to happen to outsourcing? Will it be able to compete on quality and price? Will it secretly turn into nothing more than a proxy to some LLM?