I'd say that's a good possibility, for now. Consider when Apple rolled out 1080p downloads - the filesizes were only slightly larger than for the previous 720p versions, representing quite an efficiency boost. Adopting H.265 would seem to be able to chop the sizes down.
However:
- tablets and phones are unlikely to be able to take advantage of H.265 until the requisite GPU support arrives. This may hold up widespread adoption for a year or two.
- for how long will the video arena remain at 1080p? I hear Sky (UK satellite broadcasting arm of the Murdoch empire) is trying to nudge toward 4K broadcasting.
It's a somewhat backwards way of thinking about it. They chose the filesize and then set the dials for the encoding. They could have chosen the 720p to be smaller larger or the same size compared to 1080p.
I'm curious what kind of hardware will be required for playback-- my homebrew'd Wii already has trouble playing back highly compressed h.264 videos. I wonder how much more power will be required to decode high-motion scenes in real time with h.265?
However:
- tablets and phones are unlikely to be able to take advantage of H.265 until the requisite GPU support arrives. This may hold up widespread adoption for a year or two.
- for how long will the video arena remain at 1080p? I hear Sky (UK satellite broadcasting arm of the Murdoch empire) is trying to nudge toward 4K broadcasting.