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It's a bit of a meme at this point, isn't it?

Middle income countries like China have low fertility.

Lower-middle income countries like India are around replacement level (I think officially it's lower than replacement but lot of births are "unofficial").

West African fertility rates are high... but A LOT lower than they were 50 years ago, and still trending downwards.

Whatever the reason, it's happening everywhere.



For West Africa and many other places, the reason looks like this: (dramatically falling child mortality)

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Oluwaseun-Kilanko-2/pub...


Not enough to offset the declining fertility rate though.


Add the mortality and disabilities later on. Overall I mean that once you don't have to have 4+ kids to assure at least 1 can take care of you later in life, that is great for lowering fertility rates.




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