The camel's back is already broken, it just so happens that changing OSs is very hard. MSFT has a leak; once they lose a customer, and that customer has figured out alternatives, they are never getting them back.
They are on a slow death spiral. Their solution to raise revenue when their marketshare goes down is to squeeze harder. So they lose more users and the vicious cycle continues. In 10-15 years, they'll dip below 50% of marketshare, at which point there will be various alternatives which will accelerate their downfall. This already happened in tablets/phones.
It might also happen faster since they have a stronghold in Asia and China is now looking to accelerate the building of alternatives.
See this for all OSs/platforms: https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share#monthly-200901-20...
See this for Desktop OSs: https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share/desktop/worldwide...
They are on a slow death spiral. Their solution to raise revenue when their marketshare goes down is to squeeze harder. So they lose more users and the vicious cycle continues. In 10-15 years, they'll dip below 50% of marketshare, at which point there will be various alternatives which will accelerate their downfall. This already happened in tablets/phones.
It might also happen faster since they have a stronghold in Asia and China is now looking to accelerate the building of alternatives.