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Vaccines are incredibly effective and definitely not connected to autism. That being said there is a rather large distrust of them after Covid. The fact that media and government both colluded to suppress information related to Covid vaccine side effects is troubling.

Don’t use govt control to suppress speech on social media. It’s not conducive to any sort of trust building.

Before I’m labelled a “maga/trump” talking points peddler - my kids are vaccinated (yes, including the hpv), I haven’t done covid shots more than the one required time. We do flu shots but not picky about it. Kids have had the flu (a & b) and they’ve handled it pretty well.



Also easy to forget how much negative sentiment, on the opposite political side, there was prior to the vaccine being approved. The NYT had an article on how it would take 10 years for the vaccine to be developed and approved! Operation Warp Speed was a project from the first Trump administration. One could rationally blame Trump for the vaccine skepticism. It's arguable it never would have been rush approved if it had been someone else in the White House!

I wish I had cataloged all of the stuff I read and listened to in 2020. There are things where the references are basically impossible to find. All of it mainstream news sources. There was concern expressed in 2020 that the covid vaccine could trigger resistance to other existing vaccines, and that's exactly what happened.

Also worth name dropping one of the most interesting books I've ever read: _The Pox of Liberty: How the Constitution Left Americans Rich, Free, and Prone to Infection_. Apparently so obscure that Amazon tries to auto correct the search.


> Also easy to forget how much negative sentiment, on the opposite political side, there was prior to the vaccine being approved. The NYT had an article on how it would take 10 years for the vaccine to be developed and approved!

I looked up that article. Nowhere does it indicate that papers like the NYT were opposed to speeding up the development, approval, and distribution of vaccines.

Are you implying that if it were Democrats in the white house we would've had protracted approval?

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/04/opinion/coronavirus-vacci...

==

Vaccines often take 10 years to bring to market. We want a new vaccine as fast as possible, where each month matters.

The fact is that starting from the early stages of development, most vaccines fail. We cannot afford to fail, so we need to plan for success. To do that, we must think and invest as ambitiously as we can — and that means in a Covid vaccine advance market commitment.


> It's arguable it never would have been rush approved if it had been someone else in the White House!

I don't think so. Biden pushed the Covid vaccines even harder than Trump did. If Trump had been in the White House I don't think Covid vaccines would have been mandated.


> my kids are vaccinated (yes, including the hpv), I haven’t done covid shots more than the one required time

Same. The way the COVID vaccine was used as a political wedge issue contributed to suspicions. I hope lessons were learned on both sides but I doubt it.


The media was fine on the covid shots and if you're not taking them then you're doing yourself and your family harm. Yes, there are side effects. Those side effects are far far milder than the actual illness, which you are pretty much guaranteed to get. So your option are mild side effect + mild disease or severe disease.


Those are not the options. COVID is exceedingly mild for many people (if I've ever had it, I didn't notice), and severe only for a few. The risk needs to be evaluated in relation to each person.

I rarely get sick. I haven't had flu or even a cold in at least 10 years. I don't get flu vaccines because in my estimation I don't need them. By contrast, for something like tetanus vaccines, I do get those periodically as my hobbies expose me to cuts and dirt.


These are in fact the options. "I'm special" is common but wrong thinking. These likelihood numbers apply to you too. If you want to gamble that you'll get few side effects from covid, then great news your odds of getting side effects from the vaccine are even less!


Flu and covid vacines don't prevent the illness. They just "maybe" soften their impact, but even that is not guaranteed as virus mutates fast. Don't throw them into the same bag as truly life changing polio or smallpox vaciness.


Millions of people died from covid. It's not the flu. Vaccines don't just "maybe" reduce the impact, they DO reduce the impact. It's extremely well documented. Even now, with the milder strains of covid that are common, it still reduces your chance of hospitalization and death by 57%.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/kitchener-waterloo/covid-effe...


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It was true, even for young adults covid vaccine is safer than covid.


For the overwhelming majority of "young" (which can be interpreted rather generously) people who had significantly negative responses to COVID, there were severe preexisting conditions. By contrast vaccine induced myocarditis and similar side effects occurred at a frequency much higher in these age groups, particularly those in the male + younger side of young, than would be accepted for a "normal" vaccine.

Major side effects from typical vaccines run in the 1:100k to 1:1000k range, while COVID vaccine myocarditis alone was somewhere in the 1:10k range for young males, and much higher with proactive testing for such as opposed to the 1:10k figures which relied on data from people showing up at the ER with heart issues.

And obviously speaking of vaccine "OR" COVID is misleading because it turned out that the vaccines didn't stop people from getting COVID - repeatedly, spreading COVID, and even dying of COVID. It, ideally, reduced the probability of severe outcomes, in exchange for a relatively high frequency of side effects, and that was it. But lots of people got really rich off the whole thing, so there's that at least.


Don't about 90% of Americans have a severe pre-existing condition?


Haha, well not quite 90% but many do. And I think a responsible, and transparent, government response to COVID would have been centered around this. Make it clear that there are many uncertainties but so far it seems that the people most negatively affected by the disease are those with major preexisting conditions, or the elderly. And that the ability of the vaccines to stop transmission or even infection are not clear.

Instead so much of the rhetoric was based on complete lies. I think people forget just how completely dishonest "we" were. [1] And why do montages like the one I just linked to get removed from YouTube? It's not fake or fabricated in any way, shape, or fashion. Nor are those comments even taken out of context. It's simply a record of the statements made by public figures and politicians. Apparently that's against YouTube's terms of service.

[1] - https://x.com/ITGuy1959/status/1581034815700488192


They refuse to look critically at the trade offs. I don’t even know how thats possible at this point.

Everything in life has trade offs. Everything.


> They refuse to look critically at the trade offs.

That is a bald assertion. I do not agree.

Of course it depends what you mean by "they", but medical researchers do look critically at the trade offs

There were failures of communication from fear that nuance would be misunderstood as uncertainty

Also for large sections of the population, many in my community, the state generally and the medical establishment in particular, have no credibility for the sadistic way they have been treated.


The covid vaccine was not given to young adults nor children until much later iterations of the vaccine were available, and were specifically reduced in potency for that age group.

If you recall, the initial strains of covid for the elderly had a side effect that could occur with shockingly high probability. That side effect was "dead." The very first vaccines were rushed and given to the elderly to prevent this. There was no "misinformation." The media reported information as it came in.

Understanding of the virus and the vaccines did changes fairly quickly during that time, so I get that it could be confusing for people, but there was no secret effort to mislead anyone, and overall the covid vaccine was one of the biggest successes in our lifetime.

mRNA vaccines open up huge possibilities for a range of illnesses, including cancer. The covid vaccine was developed in record time, and was overall pretty damn effective at preventing the side effect of "dead."


What COVID vaccine side effects? The only one I know apart from just mild reactions in the week that follows is the minuscule increase in myocarditis in young males, and the increase in myocarditis is even higher from normal COVID exposure, so it's arguable vaccine actually lower your overall chances.


The J&J vaccine (which I received) was ultimately pulled due in part to blood clots which resulted in one documented death [1]. The AstraZeneca vaccine suffered the same fate.

It has been affirmed that the risks of the vaccine are less than the risks of the virus. Still, we shouldn’t shout “the vaccines are safe” so loudly that we can’t document and discuss real side effects and relative risks between competing solutions.

We’ve ultimately reached the correct outcome here, removing an inferior product from the market.

[1]: https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/coronavirus-vaccine-blood-...


> we shouldn’t shout “the vaccines are safe” so loudly that we can’t document and discuss real side effects and relative risks between competing solutions

When people say “vaccines are safe” they usually mean “vaccines are generally safe” but when people say “vaccines are not safe” they usually mean “all vaccines are not safe at all times”. Those two are very different opinions and you’re demanding accountability from the side that already willing to display it.


I think “minuscule” is an understatement. I knew of 2 teenagers who were hospitalized for myocarditis - both healthy and played sports at high school. Compared to that I know of no one who has had issues with the polio, norovirus, hib, hepatitis, etc. Even the often “dreaded” mmr is ok. I’ve known of kids having sustained reactions to mmrv.

I think general aches and chills were not an issue. But myocarditis and blood clots should be looked at and not brushed under “minuscule”


I am sure it is scary to see young people have reactions to vaccines but if you compare the rates of the side effects in comparison with the rate in those who do get COVID you'll see that, in that context, they are indeed minor

https://newsroom.heart.org/news/myocarditis-risk-significant...


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I haven't followed all the details, but the parts I've seen all pretty much said that the risk of myocarditis from a COVID infection is still larger than from the vaccines. This is all very low incidence, so it's hard to get robust data.

But as you can assume that COVID is widespread enough that almost everyone will get it at some point, the risk from the vaccine is not larger than that from the infection, likely it is much lower (especially if we include more than myocarditis).


> those impacted by myocarditis would not have had it without the shot

How do you know?

One could easily say that since the risk of myocarditis is much higher after COVID infection than vaccination, that vaccines prevented far more cases of myocarditis than they caused.


> those impacted by myocarditis would not have had it without the shot

Doesn't this assume they were/are never exposed to COVID? It seems unlikely to be the case at this point.


The other thing that made mandates controversial was the fact that the vaccine didn't stop transmission. If the vaccine only helps the person that takes it, then it should be personal choice.


it can assist with preventing transmission https://www.mdpi.com/2673-8112/3/10/103


This study says it likely doesn't: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39283431/

We can swap one off studies all day, but the fact remains that there wasn't compelling enough evidence to justify making the vaccine mandated.


Given demonstrated cuts in transmission and severe disease, proven mandate effects on uptake and outcomes, and established legal grounding, the claim that evidence was insufficient to justify mandates is not supported.


That's not what the study says.


That Kampf piece isn’t what you're trying to sell it as. It’s a opinion-based book chapter in a Springer volume, not a peer-reviewed research paper. That means it wasn’t reviewed by independent subject-matter experts or subjected to methodological scrutiny. It’s basically an editorial essay compiled from selectively cited studies which measure viral load (Ct values) instead of actual transmission. The author even admits “the epidemiological relevance remains uncertain,” which is academic code for “this doesn't matter.”

The argument also ignores that PCR viral load is a weak proxy for contagiousness. Ct values vary by swab technique, timing, and test type, and don’t necessarily correlate with live virus or infectious period. Real transmission studies look at secondary attack rates (how often close contacts get infected) which is the gold standard for measuring infectiousness. Kampf doesn’t do that. He just stacks correlational lab data and calls it proof that vaccines don’t reduce transmission. That’s not how epidemiology works.

If you actually read the peer-reviewed literature, the evidence directly contradicts his claim. Madewell et al. (JAMA Netw Open 2022, 5(4): e229317) analyzed dozens of household studies and found vaccination reduced both susceptibility and infectiousness, though less for later variants. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle...

Jung et al. (JAMA Netw Open 2022, 5(5): e2213606) demonstrated that vaccinated people cleared live virus faster and transmitted less frequently. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle...

Maeda et al. (Int J Infect Dis 2023) confirmed vaccinated index cases were significantly less likely to infect household members. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122...

And a Spanish cohort study (PMC10975059, 2023) found vaccinated index cases had an adjusted odds ratio of 0.21 for transmitting compared to unvaccinated. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10975059/

So when someone waves around a non-peer-reviewed book chapter that literally says “the relevance remains uncertain” as if it’s the definitive takedown of global vaccine data, they’re not being honest... or they don’t understand what they’re citing. The serious literature is consistent: vaccines shorten infectious periods, lower secondary attack rates, and reduce transmission risk. Kampf’s chapter is opinion dressed up as research, and anyone presenting it as “proof” just revealed they didn’t read past the abstract.

Get out of here with what you think the study says. You didn’t read it, you skimmed a line and built a conspiracy out of it. You’re advertising that you don’t understand the difference between a book chapter and peer-reviewed research.


There's no conspiracy. There was just panic and over-reach from government.

If you think the vaccine stopped transmission, why did the official guidance change around whether it did or not?

And even if (a big if) it stopped transmission, it was still out of line with the severity of the disease.


Ah yes, the standard bad-faith argument playbook: shift from evidence to ideology, invent a straw man, and move the goalposts when the facts don’t cooperate.

I never mentioned a conspiracy. You made that up so you’d have an easier argument to knock down. We were talking about evidence and methodology, and now you’ve pivoted to “government overreach” and “panic.”

Guidance changed because the data changed. That’s what science is supposed to do. New variants, new evidence, new risk assessments. We update, refine, repeat. Calling that “lying” or “overreach” is just admitting you don’t understand how empirical reasoning works.

I personally knew people young and old who died from COVID. The mortality spike wasn’t some abstract statistic. It was families, coworkers, and neighbors. When you downplay that or call the response “panic,” what you’re really saying is you’re fine with more people dying unnecessarily as long as you’re not inconvenienced.

You can keep moving the goalposts if it helps you avoid the obvious, but the facts don’t change. The vaccines worked, the mandates increased uptake, and the alternative was a lot more dead people.


>>You didn’t read it, you skimmed a line and built a conspiracy out of it.

>>I never mentioned a conspiracy.

Well that's awkward.

Yes a very, very few young people died from it (mostly with pre-existing conditions) and a lot of old people died from it.

Although the definitions of "dying from COVID" were so broad and numerous as to be meaningless, and the mortality spike lacks credibility as a result. And how do you calculate the numbers of lives saved? Against modelling? That worked well.

The vaccines worked, but were over-prescribed to people that didn't need them and were at risk from side-effects. The economy cratered, people lost their jobs, babies and toddlers were developmentally delayed due to mask wearing and other students had their education affected by school & university closures.

You could catch the virus standing up in a restaurant, but not if you sat down. You should stay at home and might die, unless you needed to attend a BLM rally, then it was OK. You must keep a distance of 6ft from other people, but 5ft 6" was dangerous. You should wear a mask, even though cloth won't stop the virus and meta-reviews showed they didn't work at the population level. You shouldn't go to work if you have an email job as you might die, but if you have a working class job in a store on the tills you can meet hundreds of people a day with no issues. This science stuff is good.

>>And the alternative was a lot more dead people.

What, like in Sweden? I think we all know for the next pandemic the sensible response will be closer to the Great Barrington Declaration than whatever the fuck it was we thought we were doing before.


That is not “awkward,” it is reading comprehension. I said you skimmed a line and built a conspiracy out of it, meaning you spun a story of deceit and “noble lies” out of a cherry-picked source. You then tried to rescue yourself with “there’s no conspiracy,” as if that is what I had claimed. That is you inventing a position to knock down.

On the substance: “definitions of dying from COVID were meaningless” is hand-waving. Excess mortality does not care about coding quirks. Every rich country saw a visible spike in deaths above baseline. And on Sweden, the data is not on your side. Norway and Sweden took opposite approaches in 2020. Norway used strict lockdowns, tight border controls, and intensive outbreak tracking, while Sweden kept society largely open.

The results weren’t subtle. As the Juul paper puts it: “That resulted in 477 COVID-19 deaths (Norway) and 9,737 (Sweden) in 2020, respectively.”

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38262870/

Holding up the outlier with vastly more dead people as the “sensible” model is quite a choice.

Your laundry list of culture-war anecdotes about restaurants, rallies, 6-foot rules, and cloth masks is not an argument about vaccines or mandates. It’s a vibes reel. Early non-pharmaceutical rules were inconsistent. Inconsistent does not mean "bad". The inconsistency doesn't retroactively erase the evidence that vaccination reduced severe disease, reduced transmission and pressure on hospitals. You keep skipping over the data I cited on secondary attack rates and infectious periods because it collides with your story.

You have also walked back your own claim which I appreciate. You are now saying “the vaccines worked, but were over-prescribed,” which concedes the core point while trying to shift the conversation to every grievance you can think of: models, school closures, toddler masks, the economy. We started with “this chapter proves vaccines do not reduce transmission.” It does not. Peer-reviewed household and cohort data contradict it. Everything you have added since is fog to avoid saying “I was wrong about that.”


You accused me of saying there was a conspiracy. I said that was not what I said.

>> On the substance: “definitions of dying from COVID were meaningless” is hand-waving. Excess mortality does not care about coding quirks.

This is wrong as well. If I get run over and test positive for COVID, that's not a COVID death. If more people die because of cancer because they couldn't get access to oncology during lockdown, that's an excess death.

>>Your laundry list of culture-war anecdotes about restaurants, rallies, 6-foot rules, and cloth masks is not an argument about vaccines or mandates. It’s a vibes reel.

It's not a vibes reel and they're not culture war items. Nice try trying to make things political. It's an example of policy mistakes made be a panic-ed government, based on rubbish like modelling.

>>You have also walked back your own claim which I appreciate. You are now saying “the vaccines worked, but were over-prescribed,”

The vaccines worked to reduce the severity of illness, not transmission. Possibly some effect on transmission at the start, minimal later on, mandates and making people lose their jobs if they didn't get vaccinated were excessive.


> If the vaccine only helps the person that takes it, then it should be personal choice.

If unvaccinated people seek treatment for Covid, should they get put lower down the priority list than vaccinated people? Otherwise that person's "personal choice" is negatively affecting someone else, right?


Not disagreeing, just a question: if you were to catch it, would you stay inside until you're healthy again and not a danger to others?


Yes, that or wear a well-fitted n95 mask and limit exposure as much as possible. Wouldn’t you?


Yes, but that's unrelated to the vaccine question.


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People who did not receive the vaccine are > 5x more likely to develop those symptoms.


As bad as anti-vaxxers are claimed to be, people conflating someone who has concerns about novel medical treatment or general distrust of the pharma industry with people who think all vaccines are bad are far worse. They suppress actual scientific discussion and information propagation through fear, intimidation, and suppression.

I’ve come to discount the opinion of anyone who earnestly accuses some of being an anti-vaxxer. They have no moral or scientific high ground and obviously do not understand nuance.


> Don’t use govt control to suppress speech on social media. It’s not conducive to any sort of trust building.

So then how do you deal with other state actors who have whole machineries spreading lies and disinformation on social networks?


I wouldn't accuse you of being "maga/trump" purely based on the fact that he has ramped up speech suppression on social media way more than Biden could have dreamed of.


> The fact that media and government both colluded to suppress information related to Covid vaccine side effects is troubling.

This is not a fact, and spreading this misinformation is very concerning.


> Don’t use govt control to suppress speech on social media. It’s not conducive to any sort of trust building

The federal government lied about masks. Local governments lied about lockdowns. Nobody lied about vaccines.

The folks who can’t be fucked to not get and spread measles weren’t tipped over the edge by the mask lies because they’re the same folks who wouldn’t follow a mask mandate.


When Trudeau said "[t]he best vaccine for you to take is the very first one that is offered to you," they were aware of the potential threats that AstraZeneca posed, and yet, it took about 15 more days before the government suspended its use. He was well aware of the risks he was taking by telling everyone it was safe, and yet, did it anyways (the fact that he even said such a thing indicates as much).


What were these "lies"? Lying requires an intent to deceive. You can be wrong about something without lying about it. During the early days of COVID, there was little information about the effectiveness of anything, and governments may have hastily made statements without yet having all the facts, but that's very different than intentionally deceiving.


> What were these "lies"? Lying requires an intent to deceive

“In early 2020, Fauci and other public health officials advised against mask use by the general public, citing both doubts about efficacy and a need to preserve limited supplies for healthcare workers” [1]. That second part brings it close to a lie. (There was no need to advise against mask use.)

America fucked up thrice: the mask misinformation in March, talking down the lab-release hypothesis (which would have motivated right-wing nutters into being less selfish), and not regulating local jurisdictions who took specific measures (e.g. no public outdoor gatherings in San Francisco, or vaccine mandates in open-air venues in New York).

Otherwise, we did pretty well. And I’m sceptical someone willing to put their family and community at risk would see things differently if any of the above changed.

[1] https://case.hks.harvard.edu/a-noble-lie-dr-anthony-fauci-an...


> In early 2020, Fauci and other public health officials advised against mask use by the general public, citing both doubts about efficacy and a need to preserve limited supplies for healthcare workers”

Huge stretch to consider this intent to deceive. This is as much of a lie as imposing rations during wartime. And not even that much, since Fauci's statements were suggestions and not mandates. They were basically saying, "We're not yet sure if they work well, but we're looking into it. But for now, supplies are limited, so let's not deprive healthcare workers who actually need them."


> They were basically saying, "We're not yet sure if they work well, but we're looking into it. But for now, supplies are limited, so let's not deprive healthcare workers who actually need them."

No, they could have said that. In fact, they should have said that. Instead what they said was some convoluted statement actually saying something like there was no evidence for masks working (null hypothesis), worded such that most people not skilled in critical reading would interpret it as an indication that masks didn't work.

It was most certainly a black mark on public health officials, along with the various closures of open air venues - parks, beaches, etc. (of course not that these things justify any of the abject denialist craziness of the "other side")


Yea, I agree in the perfect world, with a cooperative public who want the best for everyone, they should have said that. In reality, (as we know now) the American public largely doesn't give a shit about anyone but themselves, and any argument to "do something to help someone else" was just going to be ridiculed and ignored. They had to structure the message in the form of "Right now, we think X works, Y doesn't, and to help yourselves, do X, and don't do Y." because any other message would be totally ignored. I wish we weren't surrounded by selfishness, but we are.


It seems like you switched your argument from they didn't lie to the lie was justified ?

But even in your framing, I think they could have simply not said anything for a few days to the general public while healthcare workers went and scooped up whatever was still floating around in the consumer inventory. Coming clean and saying we think this might help, but the supply is low and they're more important for healthcare workers would have built trust rather than creating another transparent move that undermined it.

I do get they were under significant pressure, especially with the anti-leadership above them causing unnecessary chaos for political gains. I just think if we're doing a postmortem here we should acknowledge that the lying was a mistake.


> America fucked up thrice

The bigger fuck up was having an anti-leader in the bully pulpit amplifying outlandish anti-society positions. The usual mainstream conservative right wing opinion would have been something like "wear a mask / stay home / etc to protect yourself and your own family". This would set normative societal behavior, even though some people would do otherwise for their own reasons (with one possible reason being a headstrong individualist desire to exercise freedom). But instead a large group of mainstream people, who would have otherwise been perfectly content following along with the system's recommendations, were basically goaded into denialism as mainstream pop culture. It's hard to look at this and conclude anything other that the occupier of said bully pulpit is either directly a foreign agent sowing division for division's sake, or at the very least demented in a social media bubble managed by foreign agents.


COVID should have been a slam-dunk country-uniting event, like 9/11. I didn't like GWB at all, but he and his staff managed to (briefly) unite Americans and get us all working in one basic direction[1]. If we actually had a respectable statesman in charge when COVID hit, we might have actually all come together to do the right thing. But, instead we had a belligerent clown who wasted no time before making it partisan and urging defiance and division. Absolute tragedy.

1: Unfortunately, that direction was a series of ridiculous overseas wars, but that's besides the point.


> COVID should have been a slam-dunk country-uniting event, like 9/11

It wasn't, in part, because of how we reacted to 9/11. (Afghanistan was probably fine. But wtf with Iraq.)


>Nobody lied about vaccines.

Sure they did. Go back and listen to what the media and politicians were saying about the vaccines when they were first released: you won't get COVID, you won't spread COVID. We ended up at "you'll still get COVID and spread COVID, but your symptoms will be lessened".

I'm not anti-vaccine by any means, but the story around COVID vaccines changed...a lot.


> Go back and listen to what the media was saying about the vaccines when they were first released: you won't get COVID, you won't spread COVID

You’re making the claim. Show me.

I remember this debate happening online. It was stupid then as it is now. The clinical outcomes were clear as day: reduced hospitalisation. And Jonas Salk’s original polio vaccine was non-sterilising and not only not non-infecting, but actively infecting.


I saw those statements. Sorry, no, can't be arsed to find proof, because it's not my claim. But it was definitely being stated, publicly, by authoritative-sounding people. IIRC at least some were in the administration (or in government health agencies, which from the public's perception amounts to the same thing).


> in the administration (or in government health agencies, which from the public's perception amounts to the same thing)

It's wrong for a politican to lie. But if someone is confusing the President and CDC, I'm not seeing any bright paths ahead for them.


>You’re making the claim. Show me.

The fact that you are unaware of it means you've got your head-in-the-sand.

"Calling on Americans to get vaccinated against Covid-19, Biden said, “If you’re vaccinated, you’re not going to be hospitalized, you’re not going to be in the ICU unit and you’re not going to die.”"

Are those facts?

https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/22/politics/fact-check-biden-cnn...


> If you’re vaccinated, you’re not going to be hospitalized, you’re not going to be in the ICU unit and you’re not going to die

What part of this says “you won't get COVID, you won't spread COVID”?


> But then, during a third exchange, Biden said that since the vaccines “cover” the highly transmissible Delta variant of the virus: “You’re not going to get Covid if you have these vaccinations.”

It's... literally the next paragraph. Right next to the part you quoted.


> literally the next paragraph

I see it now. That's misleading. It contains a nugget of truth inasmuch as a vaccinated person has lower odds of a SARS-CoV-2 infection turning into Covid, but it's not a guarantee. (Nothing in immunology is, but that's a punt.)

It should have been couched, it wasn't, and I can see someone seeing that as lying.

That said, if Biden had used more delicate words, do you think these folks would have taken their MMRs? Are people who make stupid decisions for the next decade because Trump lies about everything sympathetic because they couldn't evaluate source authority?

> Right next to the part you quoted

I was quoting the comment I responded to.


You asked for a source. I gave you one. It had multiple lies in it. You didn't even open the link.

Now you are pretending that someone can't go on YouTube and find more lies about the vaccines from the likes of people like Rachel Maddow. People have assembled long clips, it's a meme.

"Nuggets of truth", my lord, pure delusion.

"But but but what about some hypothetical scenario where the president didn't lie?"

We will never know, will we?


Exactly. For those following along, take note about how this interaction with JumpCrisscross went.

These people will lie. Deny. Gaslight. Move goalposts. Ask for sources they have no intention of looking at. Then lie some more.

Imagine claiming, "No one lied about the vaccines" in 2025 and asking for proof when challenged. It's absurd.

An yet, he has a long posting history here; we know he's not oblivious. So what are the incentives to pretend it never happened?


What a pathetic reply.

You made the claim: >Nobody lied about vaccines.

I posted a link from a left-leaning source, fact-checking the PRESIDENT literally lying about vaccine efficacy. Then you move on to something else.

Well, that's in there too, but you didn't read, did you?

"You’re not going to get Covid if you have these vaccinations.”"

I posted one resource, I'm not doing your research for you. The fact that you deny this indicates you are completely brain-rotted. Enjoy.


You said they lied when they said "you won't get COVID, you won't spread COVID".

Someone doubted you. You responded by posting a quote from President Biden: "If you’re vaccinated, you’re not going to be hospitalized, you’re not going to be in the ICU unit and you’re not going to die."

That does not support your earlier claim. There is support for your earlier claim at the site you took the quote from, but the usual convention here is that if you quote a site you quote the part that supports your argument.


Yeah, ignore the 3 lies in the quote I posted, then ignore the other lies in the article. That's your convention, I get it.


No, you don't get it.

When someone asks you a question, and your response is to post some quotes from an article and a link to the article, people assume that the quotes are meant to answer the question. Most won't follow the link unless they either want to make sure you quoted accurately or they want to see if there is more interesting stuff in the article.


Those claims were true for the original COVID strain. They were not for the late strains, so that is why the message changed. Because the facts changed.


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The vaccination did reduce transmission considerably for the initial strain. Not fully, but the effect was quite significant.


No! YOU made the claim. YOU prove it.


No. They lied, well one person specifically who I’ll refrain from naming because he is a lightening rod for controversy, lied by implying that herd immunity was possible and that it was the goal. It was the precise reason I took the vaccine and the precise reason I tried hard to convince many younger low risk friends to take “the” vaccine. It was 100% a lie, and that’s a matter of record.


Saying something you believe to be true isn't a lie, even if more information later makes you change your mind. You are expecting a level of perfection that just doesn't exist.


I believe Fauci knew enough to know that herd immunity wasn’t a real probability when he was on the news talking it up as the way we “return to normalcy”. Will there ever be a public trial to disprove my belief and vindicate what seem like glaring mistakes as honest scientific naivety rather than misguided public health messaging strategy? Maybe. But it seems few are interested in the actual historical facts and would rather let sleeping dogs lie, bygones be bygones, since it’s all water under the bridge anyway and we have new things to fear like book banning and transgender athletes and Tucker platforming people who think Macron’s wife’s a dude. I’m inclined instead to believe knowledge is power, history repeats itself and governments should be transparent and accountable, even if it means putting our kings on trial.


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You got played, but not by scientists. You got played by pundits who turned evolving data into a culture-war slogan. Early messaging about herd immunity was based on what vaccines normally do: reduce spread enough that outbreaks die out. That worked against measles or polio, where the virus barely mutates. SARS-CoV-2 wasn’t like that. It evolved too fast, so the realistic goal shifted from elimination to control.

The definition of “vaccine” never secretly changed. It was clarified to include immune responses that reduce severe disease and transmission rather than guarantee sterilizing immunity. That’s immunology, not conspiracy. Every major vaccine like flu, pertussis, rotavirus all have that same property.

mRNA COVID vaccines still saved tens of millions of lives worldwide and sharply cut hospitalization rates, even after variants eroded transmission blocking. Boosters are needed because immunity wanes and variants keep changing, just like flu shots.

So yes: “trust, but verify” is good advice. But the verification process already happened through global trials, regulatory review, and post-marketing data. The people misleading you are the ones pretending scientific self-correction is the same as deceit.


> SARS-CoV-2 wasn’t like that. It evolved too fast, so the realistic goal shifted from elimination to control.

That's not what happened here though. These vaccines never stopped transmission, they suppressed symptoms and people just hoped/assumed they stopped transmission.

In late 2020 this was an open question people were talking about, because in development and safety testing they never even looked at transmission, only symptoms. Pfizer's announcement in particular was very careful to distinguish SARS-CoV-2 from COVID-19, intentionally not saying anything about infection/transmission. So they were being rolled out before we had any answers there. It became clear only a couple months later - well before any major "new variants" - that people were still getting infected at the same rates as before vaccination.


> These vaccines never stopped transmission

What, never stopped a single case of transmission? That's just not reality.

> well before any major "new variants" people were still getting infected at the same rates as before vaccination.

This too is not reality.


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Right, because real science never updates. Once an idea gets said out loud, it’s locked in forever like when doctors insisted ulcers were caused by stress and spicy food, and we definitely didn’t discover Helicobacter pylori decades later living rent-free in stomachs.

Fauci’s “herd immunity” comments came before Delta and Omicron turned one virus into a family reunion. Updating that view wasn’t deceit. It was responding to evidence, something the “verify, don’t trust” crowd supposedly likes, except when the verification disagrees with their memes.


You have reached a different conclusion than I, viz that Fauci had no way of knowing his comments about herd immunity were potentially misleading, and that the variants were a complete surprise to him and that the unlikely goal of herd immunity was not really part of the definition of vaccines as we have come to know them. You and I will have to live in our different worlds. If you want to give your infant thrice yearly Covid boosters in perpetuity I totally support your right to do that. Hopefully you support my right to disagree and base my own decisions on my own reading of the literature (which isn’t as suppressed for many decades to come)?


But.....we agree that Covid exists, right? And that vaccines against it, just like vaccines against flu, do generally help by increasing your resistance to the ilness itself and its side effects.

If we agree on it....why wouldn't you take it? I got the impression from your post that you generally aren't going to?

Or more simply....who cares what Fauci said? I literally had to look up who that is.


Covid exists and there are claims which I suspect are at least directionally correct that getting regular vaccines (within 3 months of exposure iirc) can reduce some symptoms and prevent what seem to be rare complications. But, my doctor and my insurance company are not suggesting I get these boosters?/vaccines?, and they have a vested interest and better ability to weigh the evidence and make decisions about what pharmaceuticals they recommend as that’s their profession and making mistakes about it poses an existential risk for them. But I’m in a very low risk area and reasonably low risk so ymmv. Even the frail elderly people I know aren’t being vaccinated despite their thirst for it and fear of Covid. Personally, I worry a lot more about candida auris than I worry about covid.


Both my doctor and insurance company in the US recommend getting COVID vaccinations. I am a healthy adult. They make the same recommendations for my children.


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> Covid vaccines are not [effective]

Please expand on your claim here.


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I don't know if that's a widespread definition of "vaccine". I think it might be personal to you, and you might be imagining the societal consensus around it.

The Covid vaccines are thought to stave off about half of serious complications from the disease among older people. That is thought to amount to thousands of avoided deaths per year in America.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S02644...

The stats for the flu vaccines are about the same, despite their poor coverage.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu-burden/php/data-vis-vac/2023-2024-pr...

Without regard to your private definitions of English words, these are both inarguably "vaccines" and "effective".


> I don't know if that's a widespread definition of "vaccine".

Wikipedia [1]: "A vaccine is a biological preparation that provides active acquired immunity to a particular infectious or malignant disease." One reference for that statement is the CDC's web page on "immunization basics".

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccine

> you might be imagining the societal consensus around it.

I don't think there's as much of a societal consensus around it now, because, as I said, flu "vaccines" have been around for quite a number of years (they were around for quite a number of years before Covid), and that has changed how people think of the word "vaccine". However, I think the word still has an unconscious connotation of something having a stronger effect than just "well, you have less chance of being hospitalized". See further comments below.

In any case, my point is that I think using the word "vaccine" for the flu and Covid shots is broken. "Vaccine" when I was growing up and got all those shots did mean "thing that prevents you from getting the disease". That was the whole point; that was what everybody talked about when you got shots as a kid so you could go to school, or when you got shots before traveling internationally so you wouldn't catch any of the endemic diseases where you were going.

When we began to encounter diseases for which we could not do that, where the best we could do was to give shots that might make them less severe but didn't keep you from getting the disease, we should have picked a different word instead of muddying the meaning of the word "vaccine".

Doing that would have made it much clearer exactly what governments were trying to do by mandating Covid "vaccines". But governments traded on the unconscious connotations of the word "vaccine" to justify the mandates. Mandating something that doesn't prevent you from getting the disease, doesn't prevent you from spreading it if you have it, but might help in keeping you out of the hospital, makes no sense from a public health perspective. But that's not what people thought was being mandated, because of the word "vaccine".

> "effective"

They might be effective at making the disease less severe. They are not effective at preventing you from getting the disease, or preventing you from spreading it if you have it.


Covid vaccines "were" effective at keeping people from dying, but not very effective at preventing you from getting covid or from getting long covid.


>and definitely not connected to autism

That is not known for sure.

Disclaimer for those who missed Rational Debate 101: this does not mean they are connected.


You apparently have an idea of surety that nothing will ever reach. Unicorns could possibly exist, but I wouldn't bet on it.




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