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A blog post [0] about a month ago explains better why they are on trial:

  The prosecution’s closing arguments [...] made it clear that
  the scientists are not accused of failing to predict the
  earthquake. “Even six-year old kids know that earthquakes can not be
  predicted,” he said. “The goal of the meeting was very different:
  the scientists were supposed to evaluate whether the seismic
  sequence could be considered a precursor event, to assess what
  damages had already happened at that point, to discuss how to
  mitigate risks.” Picuti said the panel members did not fulfill these
  commitments, and that their risk analysis was “flawed, inadequate,
  negligent and deceptive”, resulting in wrong information being given
  to citizens.
[0]: http://blogs.nature.com/news/2012/09/porsecution-asks-for-fo...

So the whole thing looks more subtle (and sensible) than many news headlines report...



Interesting. As I would expect, seismologists unrelated to the case disagree with the ruling:

>"It's too easy to predict an earthquake after the fact and say everyone should have cleared out, but beforehand people, for good reason, thought the risk was low," said John Vidale, a University of Washington seismologist. In fact, Vidale said, the scientists' statements that the quake was unlikely were true. "There was a very small chance of that earthquake," Vidale told LiveScience. "It didn't make sense for people to evacuate."

http://www.livescience.com/24173-laquila-earthquake-manslaug...


What you quote says:

1. "They were not accused of failing to predict the earthquake" 2. "whether the seismic sequence could be considered a precursor event"


My understanding is that "precursor event" has a specific meaning in seismology, i.e., sentence 2. is more restrictive than 1.

But I'm no expert, so I'll be grateful if someone with the knowledge could clarify.


> the whole thing looks more subtle (and sensible) than many news headlines report

This is so often the case...




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