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The skepticism in the article about Abdussamatov's conclusions says to me that he has a long way to go before he can really show "solar, not human" cause. It's an alright article.

I think it's interesting that it is dated a year and a half after this discussion: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005/10/global...

"The shrinkage of the Martian South Polar Cap is almost certainly a regional climate change, and is not any indication of global warming trends in the Martian atmosphere. Colaprete et al in Nature 2005 (subscription required) showed, using the Mars GCM, that the south polar climate is unstable due to the peculiar topography near the pole, and the current configuration is on the instability border; we therefore expect to see rapid changes in ice cover as the regional climate transits between the unstable states."



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